The Chicago Cubs (75-63) visit the Milwaukee Brewers (71-67) in a pivotal four-game series at Miller Park Thursday at 7:10 p.m. ET.
The Cubs are coming off a two-game sweep of the Seattle Mariners at Wrigley Field. The Brewers split two at the Houston Astros, winning 4-2 Tuesday.
The Cubs, 2.5 games back of the St. Louis Cardinals in the NL Central, hold a three-game lead for the NL’s second wild card. The Brewers are four games back.
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Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers: Projected Starting Pitchers
LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Chase Anderson
Quintana is 12-8 with a 3.90 ERA and a 137/41 K-BB ratio in 27 appearances (26 starts). Last outing: Winning pitcher in a 7-1 home game vs. the Brewers Friday, yielding four hits and two walks with three strikeouts in 5 2/3 scoreless innings. Misc.: 4-2 with a 2.02 ERA (8 ER, 35 2/3 IP) in six August starts. Career vs. Brewers: 8-4 with a 2.65 ERA in 16 starts, including 2-2 with a 5.54 ERA (16 ER, 26 IP) in five starts this season.
Anderson is 6-4 with a 4.58 ERA and a 106/41 K-BB ratio in 27 games. Last outing: Allowed five runs on seven hits and a walk with two K’s in four innings of Friday’s 7-1 loss to Quintana and the Cubs at Wrigley. Misc.: Struggled in August, posting a 6.75 ERA (21 ER, 28 IP) in six starts. Career vs. Cubs: 5-5 with a 3.27 ERA in 14 games (13 starts), including 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA (8 ER, 12 IP) in three games (two starts) this year.
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Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers: By the Numbers
- The Cubs are 15-11 in Quintana’s starts. The Brewers are 10-12 in Anderson’s starts.
- The Cubs lead the season series 8-7, while the UNDER is 10-4-1.
- Cubs C Willson Contreras is 8-for-15 with a homer vs. Anderson, while 2B/OF Ben Zobrist is 9-for-22 with three HRs.
- Brewers LF Ryan Braun is 12-for-143 with five homers in his career vs. Quintana, while RF Christian Yelich is 7-for-28 and homerless.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers: Key Injuries
Cubs: SS Javier Baez (thumb) sat the last two games and 3B Kris Bryant (knee) was a late scratch Tuesday, but manager Joe Maddon is optimistic they’ll be in the lineup Thursday.
Brewers: 3B Mike Moustakas (wrist) and CF Lorenzo Cain (knee) are questionable. They both sat Tuesday and will be re-assessed Thursday.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers: Picks and Betting Tips
Moneyline: The pitching matchup makes the Cubs ( -117) the STRONGEST PLAY. Decrease the wager if Baez sits. The Brewers are +107.
Run line: The Cubs’ -1.5, +130 is worth backing. Only two of the 15 meetings this season were decided by one run. The Brewers are +1.5, -155.
Over/under: The UNDER 9.5 ( -120) is the play. As mentioned above, the season series has primarily produced under results. The Brewers are 1-8-1 O/U in their last 10, while the Cubs are 2-6-2. Plus, the Brewers are 31-37-2 O/U.
Johnny’s record since July 19: 61-49-1. Strongest plays: 29-19.
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