The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Talladega, Alabama, on Sunday for the Geico 500.

Denny Hamlin raced to his third victory of the season and 40th overall with his win last Sunday at Homestead, his record-tying third NASCAR Cup Series victory at the track. Who will take the checkered flag in Sunday’s race at (3 p.m. ET) at Talladega Superspeedway?

ESPN.com NASCAR senior writer Ryan McGee, Fantasy’s Mike Clay, Stats & Info’s Matthew Willis and editor Scott Symmes offer their best bets for the race.

Note: Odds from Caesars Sportsbook as of Thursday, unless otherwise noted.

Best bets

Brad Keselowski (10-1)

McGee: At first blush, betting on Talladega races feels like playing roulette aboard a San Francisco cable car. But history still reveals trends that lean toward certain racers. Keselowski hasn’t had much luck at ‘Dega of late (past four finishes: 33rd, 27th, 13th and 25th, including two DNFs via crashes), but the broader picture is still in his favor.

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