COSMELLI is a great value bet for the Northumberland Plate, the race known as the Pitmen's Derby, at Newcastle (3.35).

Like the turf flat track and Rafa Benitez, the Pitmen are just Geordie memories now. But this is still a great race and Gay Kelleway's six-year-old looks way overpriced at around 25-1.

He landed the consolation Vase last year in a faster time than Withhold clocked when winning the main event and is only 2lb higher in the ratings now.

He ran an eye-catching prep for this when third in a hot handicap at Kempton last monrth over an inadequate trip of 1m4f.

His Ascot run on unsuitably soft ground can be ignored as he is much better on the all-weather. He has probably been aimed at this since this day in 2018 and, with a light weight and a good draw, seems sure to run a big race.

The plunge horse is Gibbs Hill who was very impressive last time out. But last time out was two years ago, he lacks experience of big handicaps and has to prove he stays beyond 1m4f. Apart from that he is a good thing!

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